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Table 5 Empirical studies of the implications of patenting on incentive to invent new medicine

From: A review of the health and economic implications of patent protection, with a specific focus on Thailand

Authors/Ref.no.

Period

Setting (Country/medicines)

Objectives

Model

Method

Grootendorst(2007)/ [42]

1988-2002

Canada, prescription medicine expenditure

The implications of patent policies (Bills C-22 and C-91) on medicine expenditure and on R&D activity

Modelling

1. Estimating the medicine expenditures as a function of year dummies and lagged public drug expenditures, while controlling for a vector of other covariates that could affect drug spending. 2.Estimating R&D expenditure whose patent policy changed as an influenced factor

Hughes et al. (2002)/[43]

2001

USA

The effect of patent termination on current and future patients

Modelling

From models developed by various scholars during 1987–2002, five step models were estimated:1) the effect of patent termination on total revenue, 2) the effect of total revenue on R&D budget, 3) the effect of R&D budget on new medicine development, 4) the effect of new medicine on life year and 5) life year in monetary term

Giaccotto C. et al. (2005)/[44]

1980-2001

USA

The effect of price control policy on number of new drugs

Modelling

Estimating the decreased R&D budget as a function of five main items (price, GDP, foreign sales, dummy variables representing the years for which the Kefauver-Harris amendment and the Waxman-Hatch Act). The value of forgone R&D was then used to calculate the number of forgone drugs by dividing with $802 million (cost of R&D per drug)

Colleen (2003)/[45]

1980-1990

USA, six compulsory licensing (CL) medicines

The rate of innovation activities of pharmaceutical companies after CL

Observational study

Observing the rate of patenting and other measures of inventive activity five years before and after CL