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Table 1 Population subsystem parameters and assumptions

From: Advancing the application of systems thinking in health: why cure crowds out prevention

Equilibrium parameters

Variable type

Initial value

Notes and assumptions

Susceptible population

State

800

Individuals

Disease A infection rate

Rate

40

Individual infected/year

Disease A patients

State

200

Infected population, at equilibrium

Disease A incidence rate

Auxiliary

0.05

Population based incidence

Disease A duration

Auxiliary

0.2

Years

Disease A recovery rate

Rate

40

All infected with disease A, recover

Death from disease B

Rate

4

Deaths/year

Accumulated death from disease B

State

0

Deaths from B, at equilibrium

Disease A annual burden

Auxiliary

100

Disease A burden at equilibrium

DALYs lost per case of disease A

Auxiliary

0.5

Constant – one untreated case of infection with A is equivalent to 0.5 years of life with disability

Disease A cumulative burden

State

0

Disease A burden at equilibrium

Disease B annual burden

Auxiliary

100

Disease B burden at equilibrium

DALYs lost per case of disease B

Auxiliary

25

Constant – one death from B is equivalent to 25 years of life lost

Disease B cumulative burden

State

0

Disease B burden at equilibrium

Total cumulative disease burden

Auxiliary

0

Sum of cumulative burden for disease A and disease B, at equilibrium