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Table 4 Relative and absolute effects

From: SUPPORT Tools for evidence-informed health Policymaking (STP) 10: Taking equity into consideration when assessing the findings of a systematic review

Relative effects are ratios. For example, a risk ratio (RR) is the ratio between the risk in an intervention group and the risk in a control group. If the risk in an intervention group is 2% (i.e. 20 per 1,000) and the risk in a control group is 2.4% (i.e. 24 per 1,000), the risk ratio (or relative risk) will be 20/24 or 83%. 'Relative risk reduction' is another way of expressing relative effects. This is the proportional or percentage reduction in risk, and is equal to 1-RR which, in this case, is 17% (1 - 0.83 = 0.17).

If the RR value is exactly 1.0, this means that there is no difference between the occurrence of the outcome in the intervention group and the control group. But the significance of this value being above or below 1.0 depends on whether the outcome being measured is judged to be good or bad. If the RR value is greater than 1.0, the intervention increases the risk of the outcome. If the desired outcome is considered to be good (for example, the birth of a healthy baby), an RR greater than 1.0 indicates a desirable effect for the intervention. Conversely, if the outcome is bad (for example, death) an RR value greater than 1.0 would indicate an undesirable effect. If the RR value is less than 1.0, the intervention decreases the risk of the outcome. This then indicates a desirable effect, if it is a bad outcome (for example, death) and an undesirable effect if it is a good outcome (for example, the birth of a healthy baby).

Absolute effects are differences. For example, absolute risk reduction (ARR) is the difference between the risk with the intervention and the risk without the intervention. In this example, the ARR is 2.0% (20 per 1,000) minus 2.4% (24 per 1,000) i.e. 0.4% (4 per 1,000) fewer deaths from bowel cancer.

Usually the absolute effect is different for high-risk groups (such as those who are disadvantaged) and low-risk groups, whereas the relative effect is often the same. When relevant, it is therefore important to consider whether different groups have different levels of risk. This is illustrated in Figure 3, where a 50% relative reduction in risk is shown to result in an absolute reduction of 50 events per 1,000 in the high risk group (from 100 to 50) and an absolute reduction of only 5 per 1,000 in the low risk group (from 10 to 5).