Table 1 Parameter values
Parameter (definition and unit of analysis) | Value in the model | 95% confidence interval |
|---|---|---|
Average time to perceive risk (months) | 13.1131 | 12–17.7579 |
Risk of initiation of illicit substance (fraction of susceptible users initiating illicit drug use per month) | 0.0024 | 0.0019–0.0028 |
ED visit rate (average number of times that people who misuse Rx or with illicit drug use disorder visit ED) | 1.37808 | 1.2096–1.5465 |
Fraction quitting Rx misuse (fraction of users misusing Rx who quit per month) | 0.002 | 0.0015–0.002 |
Fraction quitting illicit drug use (fraction of users using illicit drugs/misusing Rx who quit per month) | 0.0007 | 0.0003–0.0012 |
Fractional rate for overdose among nonmedical users of Rx drugs (users per month) | 0.0011 | 0.0011–0.0011 |
Fractional rate for overdose from illicit drugs and Rx misuse (users per month) | 0.0037 | 0.0037–0.0037 |
Risk of overdose death from Rx misuse (fraction of Rx misuse OD incidence that leads to death) | 0.00001 | 0.00001–0.0126548 |
Risk of overdose death from illicit drug use and Rx misuse (fraction of illicit drug OD incidence that leads to death) | 0.2072 | 0.2021–0.2125 |